
The Iran war is "testing the resilience of the global economy," and is set to dampen economic growth this year, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) said in a report released on Thursday.
Global growth is forecast to slow to 2.9% this year before edging back up to 3.0% in 2027, according to the OECD.
The unpredictable trajectory of the Middle East conflict was driving up costs and dampening demand, offsetting the positive impetus from investment in new technologies and the momentum carried over from the previous year, it said.
The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and damage to energy infrastructure had caused a sharp rise in energy prices and disrupted supplies of other key materials such as fertilizer, according to the OECD.
The scale and duration of the conflict were highly uncertain, but a prolonged period of higher energy prices would significantly increase costs for businesses and consumer prices, with negative consequences for growth, the OECD said.
The "evolving conflict [...] generates significant uncertainty around global demand," it said.
In the US, growth is expected to slow from 2.0% this year to 1.7% next year, the OECD forecast, as strong investment in artificial intelligence is gradually offset by a slowdown in income growth and consumer spending.
In the eurozone, the OECD expects growth to slow to 0.8% this year before recovering to 1.2% in 2027, boosted by higher defence spending.
In China, growth is projected to fall to 4.4% in 2026 and 4.3% in 2027.
The conflict was also weighing on the growth of the German economy, which the OECD said would grow by only 0.8% this year - 0.2 percentage points less than forecast in its previous economic outlook in December.
Growth of 1.5% is still expected for 2027, unchanged from the previous forecast.
LATEST POSTS
- 1
Nigeria police charge Joshua driver with dangerous driving over fatal crash - 2
Investigating the Medical advantages of Aloe Vera - 3
Army commander convicted of Guinea stadium massacre dies in prison - 4
Optimal Beauty Parlor Medicines for Upgraded Wellbeing and Appearance - 5
6 Famous kind of practice on the planet
3 moms, 3 countries, 1 very familiar problem: Why child care costs still don't add up for families
The Most Moving TED Talks You Want to Watch
The Eastern Bongo, Kenya’s Rare Forest Antelope on the Brink
Activists: Venezuela released just nine prisoners despite promise
Comet Lemmon and Milky Way spotted over Hawaii | Space photo of the day for Dec. 12, 2025
The most effective method to Succeed in Your Profession with a Web based Advertising Degree
NASA's Artemis 2 astronauts are cruising to the moon. So why are they doing CPR tests today?
Chinese fossils reveal a primordial burst of animal evolution
Artemis II astronauts are more than halfway to the moon as they seek to break Apollo 13's record













